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Track record

Every prediction we make is kept, and so is what the market then did. This page shows how often a wave ended inside the price range we gave for it, and lets you step through the chart exactly as it stood when each prediction was made.

These figures cover the last 90 days, from 19 September 2026, worked out 19 September 2026 17:24 UTC. The record itself began on 19 September 2026.

BTCUSDT, degree 3

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PredictionNot begun0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
What-if, wave in progress0/3 · 0%1/4 · 25%1/2 · 50%
What-if, wave after it5/8 · 63%
Early, wave in progress
High confidence (85%)
0/1 · 0%1/1 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Early, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
0/1 · 0%2/8 · 25%5/11 · 45%2/3 · 67%
Early, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
10/20 · 50%2/2 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
High confidence (85%)
0/1 · 0%1/1 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%0/1 · 0%1/1 · 100%3/3 · 100%
Confirmed, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
0/1 · 0%1/3 · 33%1/2 · 50%1/1 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
High confidence (85%)
4/4 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%4/5 · 80%4/4 · 100%
Updated, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
4/4 · 100%0/1 · 0%4/4 · 100%

Each cell is hits out of predictions scored. The columns say how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “not begun” means the wave had not started. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Every prediction except a what-if carries a confidence level, and each level is a different promise, shown in brackets under the row's name: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised.

Not in the figures above: 23 still running; 6 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 6 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

BTCUSDT, degree 4

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PredictionNot begun0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
What-if, wave in progress0/4 · 0%1/1 · 100%2/2 · 100%
What-if, wave after it0/3 · 0%
Early, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
0/2 · 0%0/1 · 0%
Early, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/3 · 0%
Early, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
0/1 · 0%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
2/2 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/1 · 0%
Confirmed, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
0/1 · 0%1/1 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
3/3 · 100%

Each cell is hits out of predictions scored. The columns say how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “not begun” means the wave had not started. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Every prediction except a what-if carries a confidence level, and each level is a different promise, shown in brackets under the row's name: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised.

Not in the figures above: 21 still running; 2 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 10 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

BTCUSDT, degree 5

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Nothing scored yet.

Not in the figures above: 0 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 38 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

BTCUSDT, degree 6

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Nothing scored yet.

Not in the figures above: 0 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 16 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

BTCUSDT, degree 7

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Nothing scored yet.

Not in the figures above: 0 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 4 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

ETHUSDT, degree 3

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PredictionNot begun0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
What-if, wave in progress3/7 · 43%11/14 · 79%4/7 · 57%1/2 · 50%
What-if, wave after it21/27 · 78%1/1 · 100%
Early, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%0/1 · 0%4/7 · 57%2/2 · 100%
Early, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/2 · 0%4/4 · 100%5/10 · 50%2/7 · 29%
Early, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
10/19 · 53%3/4 · 75%3/4 · 75%3/3 · 100%3/3 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
High confidence (85%)
0/1 · 0%2/2 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
0/1 · 0%2/2 · 100%1/1 · 100%2/3 · 67%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/1 · 0%1/2 · 50%3/5 · 60%2/4 · 50%
Confirmed, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
1/4 · 25%2/5 · 40%3/6 · 50%5/5 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%2/4 · 50%2/3 · 67%
Updated, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/1 · 0%1/2 · 50%1/2 · 50%
Updated, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
2/2 · 100%1/1 · 100%3/3 · 100%4/4 · 100%

Each cell is hits out of predictions scored. The columns say how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “not begun” means the wave had not started. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Every prediction except a what-if carries a confidence level, and each level is a different promise, shown in brackets under the row's name: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised.

Not in the figures above: 20 still running; 18 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 1 that offered no price range; 16 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

ETHUSDT, degree 4

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PredictionNot begun0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
What-if, wave in progress1/3 · 33%3/6 · 50%0/3 · 0%0/1 · 0%
What-if, wave after it6/6 · 100%0/1 · 0%
Early, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
1/3 · 33%1/4 · 25%1/2 · 50%
Early, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
4/4 · 100%0/1 · 0%1/1 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
1/2 · 50%1/1 · 100%3/4 · 75%
Confirmed, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
3/3 · 100%3/3 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/1 · 0%
Updated, wave after it
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%

Each cell is hits out of predictions scored. The columns say how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “not begun” means the wave had not started. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Every prediction except a what-if carries a confidence level, and each level is a different promise, shown in brackets under the row's name: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised.

Not in the figures above: 24 still running; 12 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 6 that offered no price range; 17 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

ETHUSDT, degree 5

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PredictionNot begun0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
Updated, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
0/1 · 0%0/2 · 0%

Each cell is hits out of predictions scored. The columns say how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “not begun” means the wave had not started. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Every prediction except a what-if carries a confidence level, and each level is a different promise, shown in brackets under the row's name: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised.

Not in the figures above: 13 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 2 that offered no price range; 8 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

ETHUSDT, degree 6

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Nothing scored yet.

Not in the figures above: 2 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 2 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

ETHUSDT, degree 7

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Nothing scored yet.

Not in the figures above: 2 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 0 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

How the record is kept

Nothing is left out, and nothing is rewritten. Every prediction is stored when it is made, together with the price at that moment, and never altered. A wave is predicted several times as it develops; every one of those predictions is in the record, not only the last.

A hit means the wave ended at a price inside the range the prediction gave. We do not score when a wave ends: the chart does not promise a time, and our timing estimates are not yet good enough to publish.

Four kinds of prediction, never mixed. Early: made the moment a wave is first judged to have ended. Confirmed: made once that ending is certain. Updated: re-made as the next wave develops. What-if: where the next waves would go if the wave in progress had already ended — counted only when it turned out that the wave had ended exactly there.

Withdrawn predictions are shown, not counted. Sometimes a wave we judged to have ended turns out not to have been a wave at all. The predictions based on it were on the chart at the time, so they are in the replay, marked; they are in no hit rate.

The replay shows only what was known then. Each step of it is the chart at one moment: the waves up to that moment, the price, and the predictions that were showing. A result appears on a prediction only at the step where its wave ends. A what-if leaves the chart when the wave in progress ends, as it did live; from then on the step lists it under the chart with how it turned out.

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