™Track record
Every prediction we make is kept, and so is what the market then did. Step through the chart exactly as it stood when each prediction was made.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 14:03:00 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 13:31 | Early, wave in progress | 80,290 – 80,907 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 13:31 | Early, wave after it | 81,097 – 82,105 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:03 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,336 – 81,903 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 14:03 | What-if, wave after it | 80,010 – 81,330 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 14:19:42 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 13:31 | Early, wave in progress | 80,290 – 80,907 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 13:31 | Early, wave after it | 81,097 – 82,105 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:19 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,344 – 81,971 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 14:19 | What-if, wave after it | 80,103 – 81,422 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 14:29:24 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 13:31 | Early, wave in progress | 80,290 – 80,907 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 13:31 | Early, wave after it | 81,097 – 82,105 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:29 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,425 – 82,274 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 14:29 | What-if, wave after it | 80,366 – 81,512 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 14:58:50 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:29 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,425 – 82,274 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 14:29 | What-if, wave after it | 80,366 – 81,512 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 15:04:00 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:04 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,362 – 82,170 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 15:04 | What-if, wave after it | 80,434 – 81,511 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 15:09:30 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:09 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,367 – 82,166 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 15:09 | What-if, wave after it | 80,427 – 81,514 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 15:09:59 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 15:10:00 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:10 | Early, wave in progress | 81,280 – 81,711 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:10 | Early, wave after it | 80,721 – 81,514 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 15:41:10 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:41 | Early, wave in progress | 81,315 – 81,780 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:41 | Early, wave after it | 80,775 – 81,579 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 15:42:39 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:42 | Early, wave in progress | 81,341 – 81,832 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 15:42 | Early, wave after it | 80,814 – 81,629 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 16:13:01 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 16:13 | Early, wave in progress | 81,317 – 81,688 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 16:13 | Early, wave after it | 80,893 – 81,524 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 16:23:06 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 16:23 | Early, wave in progress | 81,329 – 81,706 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 16:23 | Early, wave after it | 80,944 – 81,571 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 16:32:03 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 16:32 | Early, wave in progress | 81,341 – 81,728 | Low | Still running |
| 19 Sep 16:32 | Early, wave after it | 81,008 – 81,633 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 17:08:54 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 81,461 – 82,063 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,006 – 81,892 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 18:08:54 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 81,461 – 82,063 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,006 – 81,892 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 16 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 19:44:48 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 81,461 – 82,063 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,006 – 81,892 | Medium | Still running |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 18 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 19:48:45 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 81,461 – 82,063 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,006 – 81,892 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 19:48 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,003 – 81,569 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 19:48 | What-if, wave after it | 81,187 – 82,214 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 18 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 5, as the chart stood at 19 Sep 2026 19:56:02 UTC.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 80,892 – 81,137 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 14:58 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,379 – 82,042 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 81,461 – 82,063 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 17:08 | Confirmed, wave after it | 81,006 – 81,892 | Medium | Still running |
| 19 Sep 19:56 | What-if, wave in progress | 81,008 – 81,572 | — | On the chart |
| 19 Sep 19:56 | What-if, wave after it | 81,175 – 82,213 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 20 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
- Solid line: completed waves.
- Dashed line: the wave in progress, to its furthest point so far.
- Dot: the price at that moment.
- Boxes: the price range each prediction gave for where a wave would end — the wave in progress, and the one after it.
- Box with a blue line along the bottom: a what-if — where the next waves would go, if the wave in progress had already ended.
ShowHide hit rates for BTCUSDT degree 5
The last 90 days, from 19 September 2026, worked out 19 September 2026 20:23 UTC.
Nothing scored yet.
Not in the figures above: 0 still running; 0 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 0 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 0 that offered no price range; 46 waiting for their wave to be recorded.
How the results are scored
A hit means the wave ended at a price inside the range the prediction gave; a miss, outside it. Until that wave has ended the prediction is still running, and it has no result. We do not score when a wave ends: the chart does not promise a time, and our timing estimates are not yet good enough to publish.
Four kinds of prediction, never mixed. Early: made the moment a wave is first judged to have ended. Confirmed: made once that ending is certain. Updated: re-made as the next wave develops. What-if: where the next waves would go if the wave in progress had already ended.
A what-if is scored only if its “if” came true — the wave in progress did end exactly where the what-if supposed. Otherwise it did not happen, and it is in no hit rate, for or against. A what-if leaves the chart the moment the wave in progress ends, or a newer what-if replaces it, exactly as it did live; its result is in the detailed data for the next few waves.
Withdrawn predictions are shown, not counted. Sometimes a wave we judged to have ended turns out not to have been a wave at all. The predictions based on it were on the chart at the time, so they are in the replay, marked withdrawn later; they are in no hit rate.
How early a prediction was made matters. The hit rates are split by how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “not begun” means the wave had not started. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.
Each confidence level is its own promise. Every prediction except a what-if carries one: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised.
How the record is kept
Nothing is left out, and nothing is rewritten. Every prediction is stored when it is made, together with the price at that moment, and never altered. A wave is predicted several times as it develops; every one of those predictions is in the record, not only the last. The record began on 19 September 2026.
The replay shows only what was known then. Each step of it is the chart at one moment: the waves up to that moment, the price, and the predictions that were showing. A result appears on a prediction only at the step where its wave ends.