LawrenceWave LawrenceWave
Sign in

Track record

Every prediction we make is kept, and so is what the market then did. Step through the chart exactly as it stood when each prediction was made.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 18:50:14 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:17 21 Sep 19:06 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 ??21 Sep 18:18 21 Sep 19:06 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 What-if, next wave 85,942 – 86,149 On the chart
21 Sep 18:39 What-if, wave after next 85,421 – 85,932 On the chart
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, next wave 85,984 – 86,472 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 18:52:40 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:17 21 Sep 19:10 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 ??21 Sep 18:15 21 Sep 19:10 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, next wave 85,984 – 86,472 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 18:52 What-if, next wave 85,965 – 86,208 On the chart
21 Sep 18:52 What-if, wave after next 85,457 – 86,009 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:16:28 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:17 21 Sep 19:59 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,20085,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 17:43 21 Sep 19:59 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, next wave 85,984 – 86,472 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:16 What-if, next wave 85,993 – 86,274 On the chart
21 Sep 19:16 What-if, wave after next 85,446 – 86,095 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:17:40 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:17 21 Sep 20:24 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,20085,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:26 21 Sep 20:24 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, next wave 85,984 – 86,472 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:17:42 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:40 21 Sep 20:02 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 21 Sep 18:47 21 Sep 20:02 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:17 Early, wave in progress 86,171 – 86,556 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:17 Early, next wave 85,798 – 86,340 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:33:09 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:40 21 Sep 20:34 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,80086,00086,20086,40086,60086,800 21 Sep 18:52 21 Sep 20:34 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:33 Early, wave in progress 86,317 – 86,879 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:33 Early, next wave 85,955 – 86,650 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:34:32 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,000 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:40 21 Sep 20:37 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,00086,50087,000 21 Sep 18:52 21 Sep 20:37 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:34 Early, wave in progress 86,442 – 87,181 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:34 Early, next wave 86,087 – 86,945 Low Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:38:25 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,000 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:40 21 Sep 20:45 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,50087,000 21 Sep 18:48 21 Sep 20:45 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:38 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,244 – 86,948 None offered Undecided
21 Sep 19:38 Confirmed, next wave 85,578 – 86,380 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:43:37 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:40 21 Sep 20:55 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,00086,50087,00087,500 21 Sep 18:41 21 Sep 20:55 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, next wave 85,685 – 86,620 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:49:08 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:40 21 Sep 20:07 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,00086,50087,00087,500 ??21 Sep 19:13 21 Sep 20:07 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:16 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, next wave 85,685 – 86,620 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:49 What-if, next wave 86,280 – 86,632 On the chart
21 Sep 19:49 What-if, wave after next 86,493 – 87,218 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 19:49:18 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:07 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,00086,20086,40086,60086,80087,00087,200 21 Sep 19:36 21 Sep 20:07 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:49 Early, wave in progress 85,918 – 86,429 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 19:49 Early, next wave 86,373 – 87,133 Low Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:01:44 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:33 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,20086,40086,60086,80087,00087,20087,400 Hit ✓21 Sep 19:28 21 Sep 20:33 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:01 Early, wave in progress 86,240 – 86,505 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:01 Early, next wave 86,669 – 87,268 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:02:36 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:13 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,20086,40086,60086,80087,00087,200 ??21 Sep 19:42 21 Sep 20:13 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:01 Early, wave in progress 86,240 – 86,505 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:01 Early, next wave 86,669 – 87,268 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:02 What-if, next wave 86,633 – 86,856 On the chart
21 Sep 20:02 What-if, wave after next 86,084 – 86,620 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:06:23 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:21 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,00086,20086,40086,60086,80087,00087,200 ??21 Sep 19:36 21 Sep 20:21 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:01 Early, wave in progress 86,240 – 86,505 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:01 Early, next wave 86,669 – 87,268 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:06 What-if, next wave 86,633 – 86,833 On the chart
21 Sep 20:06 What-if, wave after next 86,042 – 86,587 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:09:55 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:28 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,00086,50087,000 ??21 Sep 19:32 21 Sep 20:28 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:06 What-if, next wave 86,633 – 86,833 On the chart
21 Sep 20:06 What-if, wave after next 86,042 – 86,587 On the chart
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, next wave 86,722 – 87,085 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:11:19 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:32 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,50087,000 Hit ✓??21 Sep 19:29 21 Sep 20:32 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, next wave 86,722 – 87,085 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:11 What-if, next wave 86,678 – 86,935 On the chart
21 Sep 20:11 What-if, wave after next 86,115 – 86,683 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:18:10 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 20:46 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,50087,000 Hit ✓??21 Sep 19:20 21 Sep 20:46 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, next wave 86,722 – 87,085 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:18 What-if, next wave 86,695 – 86,982 On the chart
21 Sep 20:18 What-if, wave after next 86,139 – 86,742 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:18:48 UTC.

85,50086,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:08 21 Sep 21:08 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,40086,60086,80087,00087,20087,400 Hit ✓21 Sep 19:05 21 Sep 21:08 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,841 – 86,102 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:59 – 18:03 2 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,264 – 85,890 2 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, next wave 86,722 – 87,085 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 5 what-ifs still undecided; 4 what-ifs that did not happen; and 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:18:49 UTC.

86,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:55 21 Sep 20:47 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,50086,60086,70086,80086,90087,000 21 Sep 19:59 21 Sep 20:47 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,421 – 86,095 3 Miss ✕
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:49 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,280 – 86,632 Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:18 Early, wave in progress 86,653 – 86,975 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:18 Early, next wave 86,513 – 86,961 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:18:49 UTC.

86,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:55 21 Sep 20:47 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,50086,60086,70086,80086,90087,000 21 Sep 19:59 21 Sep 20:47 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,421 – 86,095 3 Miss ✕
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:49 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,280 – 86,632 Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:18 Early, wave in progress 86,652 – 86,968 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:18 Early, next wave 86,508 – 86,952 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:22:19 UTC.

86,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:55 21 Sep 20:54 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,20086,40086,60086,80087,00087,200 21 Sep 19:59 21 Sep 20:54 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,421 – 86,095 3 Miss ✕
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:49 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,280 – 86,632 Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:22 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,824 – 87,184 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:22 Confirmed, next wave 86,188 – 86,820 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 20:24:48 UTC.

86,00086,50087,00087,500 Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 17:55 21 Sep 20:59 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

86,40086,60086,80087,000 21 Sep 19:56 21 Sep 20:59 UTC
ShowHide detailed data
Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,592 – 85,955 3 Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:32 – 18:37 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,831 – 86,429 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:37 Updated, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,228 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,942 – 86,274 3 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 18:39 – 19:16 3 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,421 – 86,095 3 Miss ✕
21 Sep 18:50 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,679 – 85,854 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:43 Updated, wave in progress 86,713 – 87,391 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 19:49 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,280 – 86,632 Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:09 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,479 – 86,638 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 20:24 Updated, wave in progress 86,793 – 87,039 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 20:24 Updated, next wave 86,414 – 86,837 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 9 what-ifs still undecided; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

  • Solid line: completed waves.
  • Dashed line: the wave in progress, to its furthest point so far.
  • Dot: the price at that moment.
  • Boxes: the price range each prediction gave for where a wave would end — the wave in progress, and the next one.
  • Hit ✓: the wave ended inside the box. Hit+ ✓: it went through the box and ended beyond it. Miss ✕: it ended short of the box. In the close-up, a narrow box shows the mark alone.
  • Dashed box: a prediction that was later withdrawn, or one that came with no confidence level.
  • Box marked “?”, with a blue line along the bottom: a what-if — where the next waves would go, if the wave in progress had already ended.
ShowHide hit rates for BTCUSDT degree 4

Hit rates for every prediction made since the record began on 19 September 2026 (2 days so far). 1,170 have a result. Worked out 22 September 2026 04:43 UTC.

The record is new, so every sample here is small. Read the rates with that in mind.

Prediction How much of the wave's move had already happened when the prediction was made
Before it started0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
What-if, next wave33/33 · 100%
33 Hit+
63/63 · 100%
49 Hit+
38/38 · 100%
11 Hit+
28/28 · 100%
What-if, wave after next109/156 · 70%
29 Hit+
3/3 · 100%
2 Hit+
2/2 · 100%
Early, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
12/13 · 92%
9 Hit+
27/27 · 100%
12 Hit+
35/38 · 92%
11 Hit+
46/60 · 77%
10 Hit+
Early, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
1/1 · 100%17/19 · 89%
12 Hit+
17/20 · 85%
2 Hit+
11/17 · 65%
4 Hit+
Early, next wave
Medium confidence (75%)
83/104 · 80%
24 Hit+
28/28 · 100%
10 Hit+
15/15 · 100%
2 Hit+
8/10 · 80%2/4 · 50%
Early, next wave
Low confidence (60%)
19/20 · 95%7/7 · 100%
2 Hit+
2/2 · 100%1/1 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
16/17 · 94%
2 Hit+
15/15 · 100%
5 Hit+
21/22 · 95%
3 Hit+
22/22 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
2/3 · 67%
1 Hit+
6/6 · 100%
4 Hit+
2/2 · 100%3/3 · 100%
Confirmed, next wave
Medium confidence (75%)
11/17 · 65%
1 Hit+
21/22 · 95%
3 Hit+
23/23 · 100%
9 Hit+
15/18 · 83%19/19 · 100%
Confirmed, next wave
Low confidence (60%)
4/5 · 80%3/3 · 100%
1 Hit+
1/1 · 100%2/2 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%10/10 · 100%
8 Hit+
45/45 · 100%
12 Hit+
44/49 · 90%
Updated, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
5/5 · 100%
4 Hit+
12/12 · 100%
2 Hit+
5/5 · 100%
Updated, next wave
Medium confidence (75%)
21/48 · 44%
1 Hit+
10/11 · 91%
2 Hit+
10/10 · 100%14/14 · 100%4/6 · 67%
Updated, next wave
Low confidence (60%)
12/19 · 63%7/7 · 100%
1 Hit+
6/6 · 100%7/7 · 100%4/4 · 100%

Not in the figures above: 15 undecided; 96 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 14 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 10 that offered no price range; 31 made after the wave they predict was already known to have ended; 44 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

How the results are scored

A hit means the wave ended at a price inside the range the prediction gave. Hit+ means the wave went through the range and ended beyond it: the price got to where we said, and kept going. It counts as a hit. A miss means the wave ended short of the range. Until that wave has ended the prediction is undecided: each step shows only what was known at that moment, so step forward to see it decided. We do not score when a wave ends: the chart does not promise a time, and our timing estimates are not yet good enough to publish.

Four kinds of prediction, never mixed. Early: made the moment a wave is first judged to have ended. Confirmed: made once that ending is certain. Updated: re-made as the next wave develops. What-if: where the next waves would go if the wave in progress had already ended. On the chart a what-if box is marked “?”, because it rests on an “if” that may not come true.

A what-if is scored only if its “if” came true — the wave in progress did end exactly where the what-if supposed. Otherwise it did not happen, and it is in no hit rate, for or against. A what-if leaves the chart the moment the wave in progress ends, or a newer what-if replaces it, exactly as it did live; its result is in the detailed data for the next few waves.

Withdrawn predictions are shown, not counted. We sometimes call a wave's end early, and treat the next wave as having started from that point. If the first wave then carries on and gets bigger, the wave we thought had started never existed, and the predictions based on it are withdrawn. They were on the chart at the time, so they stay in the replay, marked withdrawn later. They are in no hit rate.

A result belongs to a prediction made before the outcome was known. A wave can go on being re-predicted for a short while after it has in fact ended. Once the chart knows a wave has ended, its box here stays as it was at that moment, and anything re-made for that wave afterwards is neither shown nor counted.

How early a prediction was made matters. The hit rates are split by how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “before it started” means the wave it predicts had not begun. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Each confidence level is its own promise. Every prediction except a what-if carries one: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised. That promise is about waves ending inside the range, and a Hit+ ended beyond it, so each rate also says how many of its hits are a Hit+.

How the record is kept

Nothing is left out, and nothing is rewritten. Every prediction is stored when it is made, together with the price at that moment, and never altered. A wave is predicted several times as it develops; every one of those predictions is in the record, not only the last. The chart draws only the newest prediction for each wave, so that it can be read; the earlier ones are scored in the hit rates like any other. The record began on 19 September 2026. How the models did before that, on nineteen months of data they had never seen, is on the backtest page.

The replay shows only what was known then. Each step of it is the chart at one moment: the waves up to that moment, the price, and the predictions that were showing. A result appears on a prediction only at the step where its wave ends.