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Track record

Every prediction we make is kept, and so is what the market then did. Step through the chart exactly as it stood when each prediction was made.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:38:44 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 17:32 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit ✓Miss ✕21 Sep 15:10 21 Sep 17:32 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:22 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,515 – 85,791 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:22 Confirmed, next wave 85,929 – 86,526 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:46:33 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕??21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 16:54 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,500 ??21 Sep 16:31 21 Sep 16:54 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:22 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,515 – 85,791 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:22 Confirmed, next wave 85,929 – 86,526 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:46 What-if, next wave 85,805 – 86,089 On the chart
21 Sep 16:46 What-if, wave after next 85,283 – 85,882 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:47:03 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕??21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 16:56 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 ??21 Sep 16:29 21 Sep 16:56 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:22 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,515 – 85,791 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:22 Confirmed, next wave 85,929 – 86,526 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:47 What-if, next wave 85,818 – 86,120 On the chart
21 Sep 16:47 What-if, wave after next 85,305 – 85,920 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:48:32 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕??21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 16:58 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 ??21 Sep 16:28 21 Sep 16:58 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:47 What-if, next wave 85,818 – 86,120 On the chart
21 Sep 16:47 What-if, wave after next 85,305 – 85,920 On the chart
21 Sep 16:48 Updated, wave in progress 85,666 – 85,859 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:48 Updated, next wave 86,000 – 86,406 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:49:13 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕??21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 17:00 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 ??21 Sep 16:27 21 Sep 17:00 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:48 Updated, wave in progress 85,666 – 85,859 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:48 Updated, next wave 86,000 – 86,406 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:49 What-if, next wave 85,833 – 86,140 On the chart
21 Sep 16:49 What-if, wave after next 85,298 – 85,943 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:51:32 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕??21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 17:04 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,200 ??21 Sep 16:24 21 Sep 17:04 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:49 What-if, next wave 85,833 – 86,140 On the chart
21 Sep 16:49 What-if, wave after next 85,298 – 85,943 On the chart
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, next wave 85,933 – 86,262 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:55:01 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit ✓Hit ✓Miss ✕21 Sep 15:08 21 Sep 18:05 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 21 Sep 15:43 21 Sep 18:05 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,055 – 85,397 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 13:45 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,425 – 85,118 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,231 – 85,453 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:09 Earlier what-if, wave after next 84,605 – 85,212 Miss ✕
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, next wave 86,233 – 86,371 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,760 – 86,182 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:15 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,874 – 86,088 Medium Miss ✕
21 Sep 15:20 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,203 – 86,368 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:44 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,720 – 85,957 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, next wave 85,933 – 86,262 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 10 what-ifs still undecided; 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 16:55:01 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:12 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 21 Sep 16:43 21 Sep 17:12 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,973 – 86,363 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:55 Early, next wave 85,608 – 86,157 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:06:20 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓??21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:19 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 ✓+??21 Sep 16:39 21 Sep 17:19 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,973 – 86,363 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 16:55 Early, next wave 85,608 – 86,157 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:06 What-if, next wave 85,814 – 85,978 On the chart
21 Sep 17:06 What-if, wave after next 85,959 – 86,332 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:07:58 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓??21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:21 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,80086,00086,200 ✓+??21 Sep 16:37 21 Sep 17:21 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:06 What-if, next wave 85,814 – 85,978 On the chart
21 Sep 17:06 What-if, wave after next 85,959 – 86,332 On the chart
21 Sep 17:07 Early, wave in progress 85,776 – 86,069 Low Undecided
21 Sep 17:07 Early, next wave 85,717 – 86,082 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:08:47 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:40 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,70085,80085,90086,00086,100 Hit+ ✓21 Sep 16:25 21 Sep 17:40 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:07 Early, wave in progress 85,776 – 86,069 Low Undecided
21 Sep 17:07 Early, next wave 85,717 – 86,082 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 6 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:11:32 UTC.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:45 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 21 Sep 16:44 21 Sep 17:45 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:11 Early, wave in progress 85,997 – 86,427 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:11 Early, next wave 85,390 – 86,074 Low Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:13:20 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:49 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,500 21 Sep 16:41 21 Sep 17:49 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, next wave 85,293 – 86,060 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:16:26 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓??21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:25 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,500 ??21 Sep 16:57 21 Sep 17:25 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, next wave 85,293 – 86,060 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:16 What-if, next wave 85,729 – 85,957 On the chart
21 Sep 17:16 What-if, wave after next 85,968 – 86,528 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:17:14 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Miss ✕Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓21 Sep 15:31 21 Sep 17:57 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,500 ✓+21 Sep 16:36 21 Sep 17:57 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,429 – 85,642 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:30 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,667 – 86,237 Hit ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, next wave 85,485 – 86,038 1 Hit ✓, 4 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 15:51 – 16:03 5 earlier what-ifs, wave after next 85,810 – 86,685 4 Hit ✓, 1 Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:03 Early, wave in progress 86,220 – 86,592 Low Miss ✕
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, next wave 85,293 – 86,060 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:17:15 UTC.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 17:28 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,200 21 Sep 17:10 21 Sep 17:28 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:17 Early, wave in progress 85,352 – 85,716 Low Undecided
21 Sep 17:17 Early, next wave 85,673 – 86,231 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:22:56 UTC.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 17:28 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,200 ??21 Sep 17:11 21 Sep 17:28 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:17 Early, wave in progress 85,352 – 85,716 Low Undecided
21 Sep 17:17 Early, next wave 85,673 – 86,231 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:22 What-if, next wave 85,849 – 85,953 On the chart
21 Sep 17:22 What-if, wave after next 85,421 – 85,755 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:33:43 UTC.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 17:50 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:56 21 Sep 17:50 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:22 What-if, next wave 85,849 – 85,953 On the chart
21 Sep 17:22 What-if, wave after next 85,421 – 85,755 On the chart
21 Sep 17:33 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,754 – 85,962 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:33 Confirmed, next wave 85,869 – 86,214 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:37:15 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 17:59 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:50 21 Sep 17:59 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:33 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,754 – 85,962 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:33 Confirmed, next wave 85,869 – 86,214 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:37 What-if, next wave 85,909 – 86,135 On the chart
21 Sep 17:37 What-if, wave after next 85,300 – 85,911 On the chart

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:53:05 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 18:31 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓??21 Sep 16:28 21 Sep 18:31 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:37 What-if, next wave 85,909 – 86,135 On the chart
21 Sep 17:37 What-if, wave after next 85,300 – 85,911 On the chart
21 Sep 17:53 Updated, wave in progress 85,718 – 85,954 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:53 Updated, next wave 85,809 – 86,151 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:53:34 UTC.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 18:42 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,60085,80086,00086,20086,40086,600 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 16:21 21 Sep 18:42 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:53 Updated, wave in progress 85,718 – 85,954 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:53 Updated, next wave 85,809 – 86,151 Medium Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 8 what-ifs that did not happen; and 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 17:55:09 UTC.

85,50086,00086,500 Hit+ ✓Hit ✓Hit+ ✓Hit ✓21 Sep 15:48 21 Sep 18:45 UTC

Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.

85,20085,40085,60085,80086,00086,20086,400 21 Sep 17:20 21 Sep 18:45 UTC
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Made (UTC)PredictionRangeConfidenceResult
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,796 – 85,980 Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 14:55 Earlier what-if, wave after next 86,025 – 86,590 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, next wave 85,857 – 86,148 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:17 Earlier what-if, wave after next 85,344 – 85,952 Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:51 Updated, wave in progress 85,717 – 85,891 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Confirmed, wave in progress 85,832 – 86,048 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 16:55 Early, wave in progress 85,764 – 85,901 Medium Hit+ ✓
21 Sep 17:13 Confirmed, wave in progress 86,087 – 86,548 Medium Hit ✓
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, wave in progress 85,246 – 85,725 Medium Undecided
21 Sep 17:55 Updated, next wave 85,647 – 86,358 Low Undecided

An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made.

Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs still undecided; 12 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.

  • Solid line: completed waves.
  • Dashed line: the wave in progress, to its furthest point so far.
  • Dot: the price at that moment.
  • Boxes: the price range each prediction gave for where a wave would end — the wave in progress, and the next one.
  • Hit ✓: the wave ended inside the box. Hit+ ✓: it went through the box and ended beyond it. Miss ✕: it ended short of the box. In the close-up, a narrow box shows the mark alone.
  • Dashed box: a prediction that was later withdrawn, or one that came with no confidence level.
  • Box marked “?”, with a blue line along the bottom: a what-if — where the next waves would go, if the wave in progress had already ended.
ShowHide hit rates for BTCUSDT degree 4

Hit rates for every prediction made since the record began on 19 September 2026 (2 days so far). 1,180 have a result. Worked out 22 September 2026 06:40 UTC.

The record is new, so every sample here is small. Read the rates with that in mind.

Prediction How much of the wave's move had already happened when the prediction was made
Before it started0–25%25–50%50–75%75–100%
What-if, next wave33/33 · 100%
33 Hit+
63/63 · 100%
49 Hit+
39/39 · 100%
11 Hit+
28/28 · 100%
What-if, wave after next110/157 · 70%
29 Hit+
3/3 · 100%
2 Hit+
2/2 · 100%
Early, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
12/13 · 92%
9 Hit+
27/27 · 100%
12 Hit+
35/38 · 92%
11 Hit+
46/63 · 73%
10 Hit+
Early, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
1/1 · 100%17/19 · 89%
12 Hit+
17/20 · 85%
2 Hit+
11/17 · 65%
4 Hit+
Early, next wave
Medium confidence (75%)
85/106 · 80%
24 Hit+
28/28 · 100%
10 Hit+
15/15 · 100%
2 Hit+
8/10 · 80%2/4 · 50%
Early, next wave
Low confidence (60%)
19/20 · 95%7/7 · 100%
2 Hit+
2/2 · 100%2/2 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
16/17 · 94%
2 Hit+
16/16 · 100%
5 Hit+
21/22 · 95%
3 Hit+
22/22 · 100%
Confirmed, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
2/3 · 67%
1 Hit+
6/6 · 100%
4 Hit+
2/2 · 100%3/3 · 100%
Confirmed, next wave
Medium confidence (75%)
11/17 · 65%
1 Hit+
21/22 · 95%
3 Hit+
24/24 · 100%
9 Hit+
15/18 · 83%19/19 · 100%
Confirmed, next wave
Low confidence (60%)
4/5 · 80%3/3 · 100%
1 Hit+
1/1 · 100%2/2 · 100%1/1 · 100%
Updated, wave in progress
Medium confidence (75%)
1/1 · 100%10/10 · 100%
8 Hit+
45/45 · 100%
12 Hit+
44/49 · 90%
Updated, wave in progress
Low confidence (60%)
5/5 · 100%
4 Hit+
12/12 · 100%
2 Hit+
5/5 · 100%
Updated, next wave
Medium confidence (75%)
21/48 · 44%
1 Hit+
10/11 · 91%
2 Hit+
10/10 · 100%14/14 · 100%4/6 · 67%
Updated, next wave
Low confidence (60%)
12/19 · 63%7/7 · 100%
1 Hit+
6/6 · 100%7/7 · 100%4/4 · 100%

Not in the figures above: 27 undecided; 96 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 14 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 10 that offered no price range; 31 made after the wave they predict was already known to have ended; 54 waiting for their wave to be recorded.

How the results are scored

A hit means the wave ended at a price inside the range the prediction gave. Hit+ means the wave went through the range and ended beyond it: the price got to where we said, and kept going. It counts as a hit. A miss means the wave ended short of the range. Until that wave has ended the prediction is undecided: each step shows only what was known at that moment, so step forward to see it decided. We do not score when a wave ends: the chart does not promise a time, and our timing estimates are not yet good enough to publish.

Four kinds of prediction, never mixed. Early: made the moment a wave is first judged to have ended. Confirmed: made once that ending is certain. Updated: re-made as the next wave develops. What-if: where the next waves would go if the wave in progress had already ended. On the chart a what-if box is marked “?”, because it rests on an “if” that may not come true.

A what-if is scored only if its “if” came true — the wave in progress did end exactly where the what-if supposed. Otherwise it did not happen, and it is in no hit rate, for or against. A what-if leaves the chart the moment the wave in progress ends, or a newer what-if replaces it, exactly as it did live; its result is in the detailed data for the next few waves.

Withdrawn predictions are shown, not counted. We sometimes call a wave's end early, and treat the next wave as having started from that point. If the first wave then carries on and gets bigger, the wave we thought had started never existed, and the predictions based on it are withdrawn. They were on the chart at the time, so they stay in the replay, marked withdrawn later. They are in no hit rate.

A result belongs to a prediction made before the outcome was known. A wave can go on being re-predicted for a short while after it has in fact ended. Once the chart knows a wave has ended, its box here stays as it was at that moment, and anything re-made for that wave afterwards is neither shown nor counted.

How early a prediction was made matters. The hit rates are split by how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “before it started” means the wave it predicts had not begun. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.

Each confidence level is its own promise. Every prediction except a what-if carries one: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised. That promise is about waves ending inside the range, and a Hit+ ended beyond it, so each rate also says how many of its hits are a Hit+.

How the record is kept

Nothing is left out, and nothing is rewritten. Every prediction is stored when it is made, together with the price at that moment, and never altered. A wave is predicted several times as it develops; every one of those predictions is in the record, not only the last. The chart draws only the newest prediction for each wave, so that it can be read; the earlier ones are scored in the hit rates like any other. The record began on 19 September 2026. How the models did before that, on nineteen months of data they had never seen, is on the backtest page.

The replay shows only what was known then. Each step of it is the chart at one moment: the waves up to that moment, the price, and the predictions that were showing. A result appears on a prediction only at the step where its wave ends.