™Track record
Every prediction we make is kept, and so is what the market then did. Step through the chart exactly as it stood when each prediction was made.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:05:32 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 09:49 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,958 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 09:49 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 85,025 – 85,205 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Early, wave in progress | 84,217 – 84,538 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Early, next wave | 84,439 – 84,956 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:07:28 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 09:49 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,958 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 09:49 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 85,025 – 85,205 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Early, wave in progress | 84,217 – 84,538 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Early, next wave | 84,439 – 84,956 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:07 | What-if, next wave | 84,613 – 84,792 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:07 | What-if, wave after next | 84,250 – 84,654 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:08:34 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 09:49 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,958 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 09:49 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 85,025 – 85,205 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Early, wave in progress | 84,217 – 84,538 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Early, next wave | 84,439 – 84,956 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:09:06 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,192 – 84,451 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | What-if, next wave | 84,584 – 84,712 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, next wave | 84,445 – 84,915 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | What-if, wave after next | 84,248 – 84,565 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:09:18 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,192 – 84,451 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, next wave | 84,445 – 84,915 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | What-if, next wave | 84,592 – 84,729 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | What-if, wave after next | 84,256 – 84,582 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 4 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:09:39 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,192 – 84,451 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, next wave | 84,445 – 84,915 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | What-if, next wave | 84,605 – 84,756 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | What-if, wave after next | 84,269 – 84,611 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 6 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:12:19 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:19:13 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:19:32 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:19:33 UTC.
At this step a prediction was withdrawn from the chart. No price was recorded at that moment, so no price dot is drawn.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:20:51 UTC.
At this step a prediction was withdrawn from the chart. No price was recorded at that moment, so no price dot is drawn.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:20:55 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:21:13 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 14 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:22:12 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 16 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:23:10 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,428 – 84,709 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:05 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,830 – 85,053 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,460 – 84,651 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,524 – 84,817 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 2 what-ifs that did not happen; and 18 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:27:56 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:23 | What-if, next wave | 84,279 – 84,564 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:23 | What-if, wave after next | 84,486 – 85,123 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,066 – 84,576 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; and 8 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:28:25 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,066 – 84,576 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:28 | What-if, next wave | 84,258 – 84,556 | — | On the chart |
| 21 Sep 10:28 | What-if, wave after next | 84,444 – 85,039 | — | On the chart |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; and 10 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:28:30 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 | Early, wave in progress | 84,645 – 84,786 | Medium | Miss ✕ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, next wave | 84,066 – 84,576 | Medium | Undecided |
Not listed, from the last few waves: 8 what-ifs still undecided; and 12 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:28:32 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 – 10:19 | 4 earlier what-ifs, next wave | 84,584 – 84,861 | — | 2 Hit ✓, 2 Hit+ ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:28 | Early, wave in progress | 84,125 – 84,445 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:28 | Early, next wave | 84,313 – 84,753 | Medium | Undecided |
An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs still undecided; and 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:32:13 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 – 10:19 | 4 earlier what-ifs, next wave | 84,584 – 84,861 | — | 2 Hit ✓, 2 Hit+ ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:32 | Early, wave in progress | 84,328 – 84,612 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:32 | Early, next wave | 84,314 – 84,625 | Medium | Undecided |
An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs still undecided; and 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:33:32 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 – 10:19 | 4 earlier what-ifs, next wave | 84,584 – 84,861 | — | 2 Hit ✓, 2 Hit+ ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:33 | Early, wave in progress | 84,330 – 84,612 | Low | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:33 | Early, next wave | 84,304 – 84,605 | Medium | Undecided |
An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs still undecided; and 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
BTCUSDT, degree 4, as the chart stood at 21 Sep 2026 10:33:54 UTC.
Close-up of the same moment: the wave in progress, and what is predicted next.
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| Made (UTC) | Prediction | Range | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 10:09 – 10:19 | 4 earlier what-ifs, next wave | 84,584 – 84,861 | — | 2 Hit ✓, 2 Hit+ ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:12 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,434 – 84,582 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,594 – 84,712 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,422 – 84,572 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:27 | Confirmed, wave in progress | 84,716 – 84,910 | Medium | Hit ✓ |
| 21 Sep 10:33 | Early, wave in progress | 84,246 – 84,579 | Medium | Undecided |
| 21 Sep 10:33 | Early, next wave | 84,196 – 84,537 | Medium | Undecided |
An earlier what-if is no longer on the chart. It is listed because its “if” came true, so it has a result. The time is when it was made. Several made for the same wave share one row: its range runs from the lowest to the highest of them, and its result counts each one.
Not listed, from the last few waves: 14 what-ifs still undecided; and 2 what-ifs replaced or withdrawn while the wave was still running.
- Solid line: completed waves.
- Dashed line: the wave in progress, to its furthest point so far.
- Dot: the price at that moment.
- Boxes: the price range each prediction gave for where a wave would end — the wave in progress, and the next one.
- Hit ✓: the wave ended inside the box. Hit+ ✓: it went through the box and ended beyond it. Miss ✕: it ended short of the box. In the close-up, a narrow box shows the mark alone.
- Dashed box: a prediction that was later withdrawn, or one that came with no confidence level.
- Box marked “?”, with a blue line along the bottom: a what-if — where the next waves would go, if the wave in progress had already ended.
ShowHide hit rates for BTCUSDT degree 4
Hit rates for predictions made in the last 90 days (the record began 19 September 2026). Worked out 21 September 2026 16:34 UTC.
| Prediction | How much of the wave's move had already happened when the prediction was made | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before it started | 0–25% | 25–50% | 50–75% | 75–100% | |
| What-if, next wave | — | 24/24 · 100% 24 Hit+ | 53/53 · 100% 41 Hit+ | 31/31 · 100% 9 Hit+ | 21/21 · 100% |
| What-if, wave after next | 91/125 · 73% 26 Hit+ | 2/2 · 100% 1 Hit+ | 2/2 · 100% | — | — |
| Early, wave in progress Medium confidence (75%) | — | 8/9 · 89% 6 Hit+ | 21/21 · 100% 7 Hit+ | 27/30 · 90% 10 Hit+ | 34/43 · 79% 8 Hit+ |
| Early, wave in progress Low confidence (60%) | — | 1/1 · 100% | 13/14 · 93% 10 Hit+ | 15/17 · 88% 2 Hit+ | 9/13 · 69% 2 Hit+ |
| Early, next wave Medium confidence (75%) | 67/84 · 80% 20 Hit+ | 21/21 · 100% 9 Hit+ | 10/10 · 100% 2 Hit+ | 6/6 · 100% | 1/1 · 100% |
| Early, next wave Low confidence (60%) | 14/15 · 93% | 4/4 · 100% | 2/2 · 100% | 1/1 · 100% | 1/1 · 100% |
| Confirmed, wave in progress Medium confidence (75%) | — | 14/15 · 93% 2 Hit+ | 10/10 · 100% 4 Hit+ | 16/17 · 94% 3 Hit+ | 17/17 · 100% |
| Confirmed, wave in progress Low confidence (60%) | — | 2/3 · 67% 1 Hit+ | 4/4 · 100% 2 Hit+ | 1/1 · 100% | 3/3 · 100% |
| Confirmed, next wave Medium confidence (75%) | 9/13 · 69% 1 Hit+ | 15/15 · 100% 2 Hit+ | 18/18 · 100% 7 Hit+ | 12/13 · 92% | 13/13 · 100% |
| Confirmed, next wave Low confidence (60%) | 4/5 · 80% | 3/3 · 100% 1 Hit+ | 1/1 · 100% | 1/1 · 100% | 1/1 · 100% |
| Updated, wave in progress Medium confidence (75%) | — | 1/1 · 100% | 7/7 · 100% 6 Hit+ | 35/35 · 100% 10 Hit+ | 33/37 · 89% |
| Updated, wave in progress Low confidence (60%) | — | — | 5/5 · 100% 4 Hit+ | 8/8 · 100% 2 Hit+ | 5/5 · 100% |
| Updated, next wave Medium confidence (75%) | 17/41 · 41% 1 Hit+ | 10/10 · 100% 2 Hit+ | 8/8 · 100% | 12/12 · 100% | 1/1 · 100% |
| Updated, next wave Low confidence (60%) | 9/13 · 69% | 6/6 · 100% 1 Hit+ | 5/5 · 100% | 5/5 · 100% | 2/2 · 100% |
Not in the figures above: 12 undecided; 70 what-ifs whose “if” did not happen; 14 withdrawn because the wave they were based on did not form; 9 that offered no price range; 24 made after the wave they predict was already known to have ended; 36 waiting for their wave to be recorded.
How the results are scored
A hit means the wave ended at a price inside the range the prediction gave. Hit+ means the wave went through the range and ended beyond it: the price got to where we said, and kept going. It counts as a hit. A miss means the wave ended short of the range. Until that wave has ended the prediction is undecided: each step shows only what was known at that moment, so step forward to see it decided. We do not score when a wave ends: the chart does not promise a time, and our timing estimates are not yet good enough to publish.
Four kinds of prediction, never mixed. Early: made the moment a wave is first judged to have ended. Confirmed: made once that ending is certain. Updated: re-made as the next wave develops. What-if: where the next waves would go if the wave in progress had already ended. On the chart a what-if box is marked “?”, because it rests on an “if” that may not come true.
A what-if is scored only if its “if” came true — the wave in progress did end exactly where the what-if supposed. Otherwise it did not happen, and it is in no hit rate, for or against. A what-if leaves the chart the moment the wave in progress ends, or a newer what-if replaces it, exactly as it did live; its result is in the detailed data for the next few waves.
Withdrawn predictions are shown, not counted. We sometimes call a wave's end early, and treat the next wave as having started from that point. If the first wave then carries on and gets bigger, the wave we thought had started never existed, and the predictions based on it are withdrawn. They were on the chart at the time, so they stay in the replay, marked withdrawn later. They are in no hit rate.
A result belongs to a prediction made before the outcome was known. A wave can go on being re-predicted for a short while after it has in fact ended. Once the chart knows a wave has ended, its box here stays as it was at that moment, and anything re-made for that wave afterwards is neither shown nor counted.
How early a prediction was made matters. The hit rates are split by how much of the wave's eventual price move had already happened when the prediction was made — “before it started” means the wave it predicts had not begun. A prediction made late in a wave is an easier one, so it is never added to the early ones.
Each confidence level is its own promise. Every prediction except a what-if carries one: high says at least 85% of waves end inside the range, medium 75%, low 60%. Each level has its own row and they are never added together, so each rate can be read against what that level promised. That promise is about waves ending inside the range, and a Hit+ ended beyond it, so each rate also says how many of its hits are a Hit+.
How the record is kept
Nothing is left out, and nothing is rewritten. Every prediction is stored when it is made, together with the price at that moment, and never altered. A wave is predicted several times as it develops; every one of those predictions is in the record, not only the last. The chart draws only the newest prediction for each wave, so that it can be read; the earlier ones are scored in the hit rates like any other. The record began on 19 September 2026.
The replay shows only what was known then. Each step of it is the chart at one moment: the waves up to that moment, the price, and the predictions that were showing. A result appears on a prediction only at the step where its wave ends.